Bombing Iran
Nuclear proliferation
Nobody should welcome the prospect of a nuclear-armed Iran. But bombing the place is not the answer
Lost economic time
The Proust index
Advanced economies have gone backwards by a decade as a result of the crisis
Republican fratricide
Lexington
Rick Santorum may have many qualities, but the main one is that he isn’t Mitt Romney
There's No 'I' in 'Congress'. Santorum stumbles, but not over social issues.
By JAMES TARANTO
Mitt Romney is inevitable again, although his detractors can take heart that he's been inevitable before and it's never lasted. That's another way of saying we agree with the conventional wisdom that Rick Santorum put in a poor performance in last night's Mesa, Ariz., CNN debate. (Complicating the inevitability question, Newt Gingrich had a good night, as he always seems to do when he's been counted out, so we can count him back in, at least for the moment.)Santorum's troubles last night did not result from his supposedly outré social conservatism, as we shall see, but rather from his history as a U.S. senator. His worst moment came in response to a question about his vote in favor of the No Child Left Behind Act of 2001, a Republican-led (though bipartisan) initiative that is now unpopular among Republicans:
'Stupid' and Oil Prices
Obama's Forrest Gump analysis of rising gas prices.
To wit, that a) gasoline prices are beyond his control, but b) to the extent oil and gas production is rising in America, his energy policies deserve all the credit, and c) higher prices are one more reason to raise taxes on oil and gas drillers while handing even more subsidies to his friends in green energy. Where to begin?
It's true enough that oil prices can't be commanded from the Oval Office, so in that sense Mr. Obama's disavowal of blame is a rare show of humility in the face of market forces. Would that he showed similar modesty in trying to command the tides of home prices, car sales ("cash for clunkers"), or the production of electric batteries.
Japanese Fund Loses $2.3 Billion
By KENNETH MAXWELL
TOKYO—Japan's financial regulator said Friday it has halted operations of a little-known Tokyo money-management company after the firm allegedly lost billions of dollars in client money.Thursday, February 23, 2012
The Myth of the End of Terrorism
The Myth of the End of Terrorism
By Scott Stewart |
In this week's Geopolitical Weekly, George Friedman discussed the geopolitical cycles that change with each generation. Frequently, especially in recent years, those geopolitical cycles have intersected with changes in the way the tactic of terrorism is employed and in the actors employing it.
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
Tuesday, February 21, 2012
Is Confucianism a Religion?
Peter Berger
On February 5, 2012, the New York Times carried a story about a Confucian academy in South Korea. It is one of some 150 such academies (seawon) in the country. Their main program consists of retreats, especially for schoolchildren. The program, apparently quite rigorous, is to provide training in moral behavior and etiquette (the two are closely related in Confucian thought). Park Seok-hong, head of a large academy originally founded in 1543, explained the basic assumption of these programs: “We may have built our economy, but our morality is on the verge of collapse.”It is not a new lament. It recurs in many countries, including Western ones, wherever modernization has led to economic development, but also to a weakening of traditional patterns of belief and values. Recourse to Confucianism is not new either.
Surveillance Drone, Maiden Flight
Francis Fukuyama
I’ve promised to write about the surveillance drone that I’ve been building over the past couple of months. I have always wanted to have my own drone that could send back a live video feed. This is partly inspired by products like the AeroVironment RQ-11 Raven, which is currently in use by the US military, and which you can view in action here. The Raven is basically just a glorified RC airplane, with a sophisticated landing system that allows it to be recovered by a soldier without great pilot skills (which is one reason they cost around $35,000 each).To get to the bottom line, my drone has taken its first flights, the results of which you can see in a video of my office at Stanford and in a local park.
When my kids were younger I looked into buying an RC helicopter for this purpose and actually tried to wire a camera on a car, but the consumer technology wasn’t up to snuff back then. Now it is.
Instead of using an RC airplane I went with a helicopter for a couple of reasons. I could test the helicopter in my back yard, while an airplane would require a runway. Helicopters are better for precise, close-in surveillance because they can hover. The big drawback is that they are very hard to fly; indeed, learning to fly an RC helicopter is the single biggest impediment to the use of this kind of drone. (Among other reasons, they’re hard to fly because left and right switch meanings on the joystick when the helicopter is pointing toward you.)
Little Brother Is Watching A lot more than money is at stake in online marketing. J.P. O’Malley
The Canadian writer Margaret Atwood once pondered the impact of two famous dystopian texts from the first half of the 20th century: George Orwell’s 1984 and Aldous Huxley’s Brave New World.1
These two novels, Atwood argued, were the perfect models for using
fiction as allegory to predict, or at least to force some disciplined
thought about what future societies might be like. As the century
unfolded, however, technology outpaced what Orwell or Huxley could have
imagined, and global politics, its ideologies in tow, changed in ways
neither man could reasonably have predicted. As a result, what we
understood these books to mean and to portend changed dramatically.
Atwood tried to describe where that shift had taken us by 2007:
Centralization and the Capitalist Market Economy. János Kornai
Not long ago, I was shown at a provincial
university the quotas for admission that the faculty of economics had
received from the ministry for this academic year, derived from the
national admittance threshold points: “Students on basic training 750,
students on the masters’ course 120,” and so on. I could hardly believe
my eyes. Exactly 120 on the masters’ course? Not 119 or 121? I got in
touch with people at other universities, who confirmed that they too had
received similar detailed numerical quotas from the higher authorities.
None of the university people could tell me quite how the figures had
been calculated, but they suspect that someone above had produced
aggregate national quotas for the each major field that were broken down
to institution level.
Triage in the Drug War A short-term strategy for targeting the most violent Mexican cartels Mark A.R. Kleiman
There’s really nothing wrong with existing U.S. drug policy, except that all but one of its underlying ideas is false.
The one true idea is that drug use can be a dangerous activity for drug-takers and others, both because people under the spell of intoxication partially lose control of their behavior and because people under the spell of addiction partially lose control of their drug-taking. It follows that a purely free-market approach to addictive intoxicants will not lead to good results; taxes and regulations are necessary, and prohibition may be justified. Whether prohibition is actually justified for any given drug depends on the risks of the drug, how deeply socially embedded its use has become, and the state’s capacity to enforce it. (In my view, the answer is “no” for alcohol, but “yes” for cocaine.)
But this simple truth is taken, by both U.S. domestic law and policy and by the international drug control regime, as implying a number of stark falsehoods:
The one true idea is that drug use can be a dangerous activity for drug-takers and others, both because people under the spell of intoxication partially lose control of their behavior and because people under the spell of addiction partially lose control of their drug-taking. It follows that a purely free-market approach to addictive intoxicants will not lead to good results; taxes and regulations are necessary, and prohibition may be justified. Whether prohibition is actually justified for any given drug depends on the risks of the drug, how deeply socially embedded its use has become, and the state’s capacity to enforce it. (In my view, the answer is “no” for alcohol, but “yes” for cocaine.)
But this simple truth is taken, by both U.S. domestic law and policy and by the international drug control regime, as implying a number of stark falsehoods:
Monday, February 20, 2012
The Snowball of Empire Mises Daily: Friday, by Nico Perrino
Those of us who spent our younger years living in the coldest of the 50 states remember fondly those
afternoons spent at play just after a fresh coat of snow blanketed the
ground. We'd grab our jackets and gloves, run out of the house, and
convene at the nearest large field (perhaps the backyard) and bask in
the winter wonderland presented to us only sporadically during those
very cold months.
Snowball fights, snowmen, and creating igloos were among some of the activities we'd all partake in; merrily disregarding frostbite to salvage one more minute outside.
But one activity among them all sticks out to a great number of us.
It was the simplest of games, yet always one of the most fun. When there was enough snow on the ground, everyone from the neighborhood or school would compete to try and roll the largest snowball.
As with all things, it would start out small; one kid packing a handful of snow and rolling it along the ground adding more and more snow with each cycle. A few minutes would go by and eventually the ball would be up to his knees — a few more, his waist.
Snowball fights, snowmen, and creating igloos were among some of the activities we'd all partake in; merrily disregarding frostbite to salvage one more minute outside.
But one activity among them all sticks out to a great number of us.
It was the simplest of games, yet always one of the most fun. When there was enough snow on the ground, everyone from the neighborhood or school would compete to try and roll the largest snowball.
As with all things, it would start out small; one kid packing a handful of snow and rolling it along the ground adding more and more snow with each cycle. A few minutes would go by and eventually the ball would be up to his knees — a few more, his waist.
Totalitarians Unmasked
In many ways, the absolute state dreamed up by Machiavelli and other Renaissance Europeans couldn't hold a candle to the totalitarian regimes of the 20th century. If the old absolutists claimed potential and occasionally de facto total control over the lives of subjects, the total-war regimes made numerous "great leaps forward" to achieve ubiquitous surveillance, eradication of even the claim to individual rights, creation of concentration camps, ethnic cleansing on a scale unprecedented in human history, and mass killings of whole categories of individuals branded as "enemies of the state."
The Government and the Currency Mises Daily: Monday, by Ludwig von Mises
[Human Action (1949)]
Media of exchange and money are market phenomena. What makes a thing a
medium of exchange or money is the conduct of parties to market
transactions. An occasion for dealing with monetary problems appears to
the authorities in the same way in which they concern themselves with
all other objects exchanged, namely, when they are called upon to decide
whether or not the failure of one of the parties to an act of exchange
to comply with his contractual obligations justifies compulsion on the
part of the government apparatus of violent oppression. If both parties
discharge their mutual obligations instantly and synchronously, as a
rule no conflicts arise which would induce one of the parties to apply
to the judiciary. But if one or both parties' obligations are temporally
deferred, it may happen that the courts are called to decide how the
terms of the contract are to be complied with. If payment of a sum of
money is involved, this implies the task of determining what meaning is
to be attached to the monetary terms used in the contract.Let's End Social Security as We Know It. by Doug Bandow
Governments of most industrialized nations are
staggering under mountainous debts. Aging populations and slowing
economic growth have undermined generous welfare states. Least
affordable are public pensions modeled after the infamous "investment"
scheme popularized by Charles Ponzi. Collect money from current
taxpayers to pay current beneficiaries, and let the future take care of
itself.
With Washington facing its fourth straight trillion-plus dollar
annual deficit Congress should be imposing tough budget cuts. But
despite last year's multiple budget battles, Congress and the White
House still refuse to confront America's spending problem. Republicans
won't propose any serious reductions — such as means testing Social
Security or Medicare, reducing military outlays, or slashing corporate
welfare. Democrats just want to find someone else to tax.Worrisome Belligerence: GOP Presidential Candidates and Foreign Policy. by Ted Galen Carpenter
Foreign policy has not featured prominently in the
campaign among Republican candidates for the presidential nomination.
That may be a blessing in disguise. On the relatively rare occasions
when those aspirants for the White House do address foreign policy
topics, it is enough to make intelligent voters wish that the candidates
would stick to domestic topics. With the notable exception of
Congressman Ron Paul — who has almost no chance of getting the GOP
nomination — all of the candidates have embraced an alarming, reckless
belligerence.
Obama's Busted Budget by Michael D. Tanner
In a town where bipartisan budget chicanery has been
raised to an art form, President Obama's latest budget proposal should
be hailed as the da Vinci of fiscal obfuscation.
The president claims that his budget proposal reduces debt by $4
trillion over the next 10 years, combining $2.4 trillion in spending
cuts with $1.6 trillion in tax hikes. Almost none of that is true.Let's start with the idea that the president's budget would reduce the debt. That is true only using Washington math, under which a smaller increase is actually a decrease. In reality, the president's budget adds $6.7 trillion to the national debt over the next 10 years, bringing it to nearly $25.5 trillion by 2022. That would be more than 100 percent of our GDP.
Wars Should Be Hard to Start. by Benjamin H. Friedman
The New York Times' report on Special
Operation Command's proposal for more authority to deploy troops never
quite says what new powers are sought. That vagueness, combined with the
murky existing law on deploying special operations forces outside war
zones, makes evaluating the proposal tough.
What is clear is that it is already too easy to deploy special operations forces on lethal missions. According to the Times,
12,000 special operators are deployed abroad and have operated in 70
nations in the last decade. Other reports claim that special operations
forces have lately conducted operations in Syria, Nigeria, Iran,
Algeria, and even Peru. In some cases, the special operators are
reportedly collecting intelligence, a job various intelligence agencies
already have. In others, the special operations forces are seemingly
committing acts of war, which should require explicit congressional
approval.Troops March On White House In Support Of Ron Paul
Ron Paul is the choice of the troops for president in 2012
Steve Watson
Marking President’s day today, February 20th, hundreds, perhaps thousands, of active duty troops and veterans will descend on Washington DC and the White House to show support for Ron Paul’s 2012 presidential campaign.
Steve Watson
Marking President’s day today, February 20th, hundreds, perhaps thousands, of active duty troops and veterans will descend on Washington DC and the White House to show support for Ron Paul’s 2012 presidential campaign.
NDAA Is Now Law, and Libertarians Are Now Anti-Government Extremists!. by Gary D. Barnett
Democracy,
which I consider to be the first step or beginning of socialism,
thrives on propaganda, and uses this propaganda to indoctrinate
the people. Once this indoctrination is complete, totalitarianism
is the end result, and then propaganda is replaced by the razor’s
edge of the state’s sword. This is our lot today. Propaganda has
labeled those of us who desire to protect freedom as dissenters,
and as enemies of the State. Given the now "legal" ability
of the State to imprison indefinitely or murder any it chooses to,
the sword has become the state’s weapon of choice. The circle is
nearly complete!
According to a Reuter’s article published recently, the "FBI warns of threat from anti-government extremists." "Anti-government extremists opposed to taxes and regulations pose a growing threat to local law enforcement officers in the United States, the FBI warned on Monday." The article went on to say that: "These extremists, sometimes known as "sovereign citizens," believe they can live outside any type of government authority.
According to a Reuter’s article published recently, the "FBI warns of threat from anti-government extremists." "Anti-government extremists opposed to taxes and regulations pose a growing threat to local law enforcement officers in the United States, the FBI warned on Monday." The article went on to say that: "These extremists, sometimes known as "sovereign citizens," believe they can live outside any type of government authority.
Brazilian politics
Coming into her own
Slowly but surely, the president is making her mark on the government
SÃO PAULO
Europe and the euro
A way out of the woods
The euro may survive brinkmanship over Greece, but the road to recovery will be long and hard
Although a calm is welcome, nonchalance is not justified. A deal probably will be done on Greece, and there are promising signs of reform all over the continent. But, the problems ahead for the euro zone remain huge. The crisis is, in effect, moving from an acute to a chronic phase.
This time it’s serious
Schumpeter
America is becoming a less attractive place to do business
There is little doubt that other countries are catching up. Between 1999 and 2009 America’s share of world exports fell in almost every industry: by 36 percentage points in aerospace, nine in information technology, eight in communications equipment and three in cars. Some loss of market share is inevitable as China and other economies emerge. But even in absolute terms, there is cause for worry. Private-sector job growth has slowed dramatically, and come to a halt in industries that are exposed to global competition. Median annual income grew by an anaemic 2% between 1990 and 2010.
Why Assad Has Survived
by Taki
The reason for my shock was simple. Uncle Sam has been vetoing UN Security Council resolutions against Israel since the latter’s inception.
Jim Rogers: Don't Pay Attention to Governments. by Robert Wenzel
Jim Rogers,
who received the Mises Institute's Schlarbaum
Prize for the lifetime defense of liberty in 2010, proved
today that he deserved the award.
“If
you listen to governments, then you are not going to make a lot
of money. Governments lie, distort and make mistakes,” he
said this morning on CNBC.
And, he clearly
recognizes the near-global money printing now being conducted
by central banks.
“My
way of playing this is to own real assets like commodities,”
he said “You now have the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan,
the Federal Reserve printing money. The way to protect yourself
at a time like this is to own assets.”
A Greenbacker Invents a Nut-Case History of Libertarianism
Gary North
I have been asked by several of my subscribers to respond to this article: Proof Libertarianism is an Illuminati Ploy. It appears here: http://www.henrymakow.com/libertarianism_as_an_illuminat.html
Let me say, before I begin, that the author of this article is the only person I have come across who could profitably study with Ellen Brown.
There is a subhead: William S. Volker (1859-1947) was a wealthy German-Jewish businessman.
There is a biography of William Volker, Mr. Anonymous (1951). On Page 16, we read:
After supper they gathered around Dorothea to pray and to listen to her read passages from the Bible. The Scriptures finished, she laid the Bible aside and explained the practical application of each admonition. Dorothea also passed along to her children the plain homilies she had learned from her parents. She spoke with serious purposefulness; her steady voice revealed her deep conviction. William joined his mother's circle of instruction before he could comprehend all her teachings. And each Sunday the whole family attended the Lutheran Church services in Esperke where the family prayers were supplemented with more formal worship.
Down With the Presidency. by Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr.
The modern
institution of the presidency is the primary political evil Americans
face, and the cause of nearly all our woes. It squanders the national
wealth and starts unjust wars against foreign peoples that have
never done us any harm. It wrecks our families, tramples on our
rights, invades our communities, and spies on our bank accounts.
It skews the culture toward decadence and trash. It tells lie after
lie. Teachers used to tell school kids that anyone can be president.
This is like saying anyone can go to Hell. It's not an inspiration;
it's a threat.
Obama’s Phony Theology Offers Phony Financing on Everything. John Ransom
Rick Santorum struck the right note with conservatives when he
attacked Obama on his phony liberal theology. This is the red meat that
conservatives have been waiting for. They want someone who will take the
fight to the enemy, exposing the false religiosity of the liberal left.
“I just said that when you have a world view that elevates the Earth above man and says that, we can't take those [energy] resources because we're going to harm the Earth by things that frankly are just not scientifically proven- for example, that politicization of the whole global warming debate,” Santorum told liberal Grand Inquisitor Bob Scheiffer on CBS News’ Face the Music. “I mean, this is just all an attempt to centralize power and to give more power to the government.”
“I just said that when you have a world view that elevates the Earth above man and says that, we can't take those [energy] resources because we're going to harm the Earth by things that frankly are just not scientifically proven- for example, that politicization of the whole global warming debate,” Santorum told liberal Grand Inquisitor Bob Scheiffer on CBS News’ Face the Music. “I mean, this is just all an attempt to centralize power and to give more power to the government.”
The Left Fuels Santorum Surge. Star Parker
A succession of high profile left wing
decisions and initiatives of recent weeks drive home the extent to which
the left is changing the face of America.
Notable among these are the decision of a federal appeals court in California to uphold a prior court decision finding California’s Proposition 8, defining marriage as between a man and a woman, unconstitutional; the reversal of a decision, due to a tsunami of left wing pressure, of the Susan G. Komen Foundation to withdraw its funding to Planned Parenthood; and the Obama administration rulemaking refusing to grant a religious exemption from the new health care law employer mandate requiring provision of free contraception and sterilization services as part of health coverage.
These developments are, I think, helping to buoy the newly surging candidacy of former Republican Senator from Pennsylvania Rick Santorum.
Why?
Notable among these are the decision of a federal appeals court in California to uphold a prior court decision finding California’s Proposition 8, defining marriage as between a man and a woman, unconstitutional; the reversal of a decision, due to a tsunami of left wing pressure, of the Susan G. Komen Foundation to withdraw its funding to Planned Parenthood; and the Obama administration rulemaking refusing to grant a religious exemption from the new health care law employer mandate requiring provision of free contraception and sterilization services as part of health coverage.
These developments are, I think, helping to buoy the newly surging candidacy of former Republican Senator from Pennsylvania Rick Santorum.
Why?
Michael Lewis: Advice From the 1%: Lever Up, Drop Out
Illustration by Ted McGrath
By
Michael Lewis
To: The Upper Ones
From: Strategy Committee
Re: The Counterrevolution
As usual, we have much to celebrate.
The rabble has been driven from the public parks. Our adversaries, now defined by the freaks and criminals among them, have demonstrated only that they have no idea what they are doing. They have failed to identify a single achievable goal.
As usual, we have much to celebrate.
The rabble has been driven from the public parks. Our adversaries, now defined by the freaks and criminals among them, have demonstrated only that they have no idea what they are doing. They have failed to identify a single achievable goal.
Santorum Challenge Is Romney’s Toughest One Yet: Ramesh Ponnuru
Illustration by Ryan Rhodes
The latest not-Romney is the
strongest one yet. Mitt Romney has beaten back challenges from
Rick Perry, Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich in succession.
Santorum’s Surge Raises Cheers From Camp Obama: Albert R. Hunt
“The one who can beat Obama: Rick Santorum,” the television commercial proclaims. That boast
brings cheers from two quarters: the faithful followers of the
conservative Republican presidential candidate, and the
Democratic president’s political strategists.
The former Pennsylvania senator is on fire in the Republican contest, threatening the front-runner, Mitt Romney, in the critical Michigan primary next week and nationally.
The former Pennsylvania senator is on fire in the Republican contest, threatening the front-runner, Mitt Romney, in the critical Michigan primary next week and nationally.
If U.S. Troops Pull Out, Economic Growth May Slow: Amity Shlaes
Out. Everywhere. Yesterday. Those
three words sum up the mood here at home when it comes to
American military presence outside U.S. borders.
President Barack Obama is signaling he wants to get out of Afghanistan so badly that he’s even taking a few political gambles to accelerate a pullout. There’s also a more general sense that putting soldiers in other countries has proved a bad investment for everyone involved, rendering those nations sadder, rougher and poorer.
President Barack Obama is signaling he wants to get out of Afghanistan so badly that he’s even taking a few political gambles to accelerate a pullout. There’s also a more general sense that putting soldiers in other countries has proved a bad investment for everyone involved, rendering those nations sadder, rougher and poorer.
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